Probably, though also probably a more depressing/less glamorous version of Uber + Amazon. Having people run around in cars is going to be horrifically non-economical, and at a commodity level delivering packages is going to be far less profitable than driving people around.
More likely we'll see companies hire scores of underemployed former-members-of-the-middle class and put them on mopeds/bicycles (as density dictates). They are cheaper, and unlike machines scale up/down as seasonality requires. They are also highly flexible and capable of things like ringing doorbells, opening doors, climbing stairs, following notes on doors, and all the other details around delivery that "drones for everything!" acolytes tend to gloss over.
This is already the reality in places like New York - you can already get a huge array of things delivered within minutes by people zipping around on e-bikes.
Hehe, that's the big difference though right? We already have a really efficient, profitable delivery infrastructure. It just doesn't do near-real-time deliveries.
You can have fast deliveries, or you can have efficient/full-utilization of delivery workers. Even in a place as dense as New York City it's still very difficult to aggregate enough deliveries together that profitability for workers becomes substantial. Most are running around with 1-2 deliveries at a time.
More likely we'll see companies hire scores of underemployed former-members-of-the-middle class and put them on mopeds/bicycles (as density dictates). They are cheaper, and unlike machines scale up/down as seasonality requires. They are also highly flexible and capable of things like ringing doorbells, opening doors, climbing stairs, following notes on doors, and all the other details around delivery that "drones for everything!" acolytes tend to gloss over.
This is already the reality in places like New York - you can already get a huge array of things delivered within minutes by people zipping around on e-bikes.