Karl Popper calls this a psychological probability(% chance I go to the gym today). This is different from objective probability (% chance a dice lands on 5).
In this case, it seems like we are rolling dice but no one is quiet sure if the dice are fair, how many sides it has and what numbers are written on the dice.
The only thing I am confident in is if it the bigger the fire, the faster the work. I want the Bitcoin community to start the work as early as possible so that it doesn't have to rush because rushing increases the chance of mistakes.
As bad as the idea of a solution looking for a problem, this is peak science. Copernicus who figured out that the Earth was not at the center of the solar system, he had a solution. The general word is called deduction.
Personally I am an inductivist, I imagine you may be too.
Think top down decisioning is deduction. Bottom up is induction.
You might think induction is amazing but if you ask yourself "Are there any black swans?" and your answer is "No I've never seen any so there can't be any black swans." The issue is you've never actually seen every Swan and actually there are black swans in Australia.
Point being, we don't know if this is a good thing until it's tested.
Okay at my core I'm an inductionist. However this article is a mere tautology at best.
The article doesn't explain why. It explains a bunch of cases and works backwards to show that the original premise was true. This sounds fine but the end of the article specifically mentioned that this is dangerous because the world doesn't always work like this.
This is the problem with induction, it might work in 99% of cases, I've never seen a Black Swan so there must not be any black swans?
Deduction has more value when it comes to math specifically... I'll admit that as an inductionist.
I suppose this makes me feel a little bit better about a multi-month process that ended up requiring the eight Queens problem.
That said management did not quite understand. They thought that I should have known about the bottleneck (Actually I did but I was told not to prematurely optimize)
I end up writing the program three times, the final solution was honestly beautiful.
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