It depends surely on what they're after. If they want small electronic goods to sell for drug money then they'll smash a window. If they want identity/banking information so they can still the contents of your bank account(s) then probably the SMS and number spoofing is better for them.
Yeah, exactly, my point was more "if someone wants to break in for anything they're just going to break in." Hell, I had a credit card stolen out of my mailbox and used around town last month.
Breaking into houses doesn't require Oceans 11 technology.