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> people our age

So far as I can see, cheschire didn't say anything to indicate their age.

Careful with those assumptions!



Assuming that youth and health are sovereign against bad COVID outcomes sure is an assumption, too.


Isn’t that a statistically valid assumption for reduced risk at the population level?


Do you consider spreading to other more vulnerable people as a bad COVID outcome?


I do, but also think it deserves more context.

I’m not sure most of the public dialogue is framed correctly. As the parent comment stated, it’s about quantifying risk. We (humans) are generally bad at thinking about risk in statistically relevant sense.

Even before that discussion can happen we need to define what is the appropriate level of non-zero acceptable risk and how to measure it. Is it more appropriate to measure in utilitarian or absolute terms?(E.g., is the risk of death to an elderly nursing home patient equivalent to the risk of death to an otherwise healthy teenager? I.e. are ‘life-years lost’ more important than lives lost?) I don’t know the answers, but only once we understand that risk can we accurately mitigate it.

Bypassing all that is just layering assumptions upon assumptions


GP comment says "for someone living alone" which I would consider an answer to your question.


That death and total recovery are the only possible outcomes is also an assumption.


Sorry, my apologies!




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