Invasion of Taiwan would require the largest amphibious assault in history. And it's easy to point defensive artillery at the water.
So the PRC would need air superiority to disable those defensive positions, which would immediately pull the US and allies into the fight.
There's no Blitzkrieg option. By the time the PRC reaches the semiconductor facilities they will be scuttled. And consider the straight of Malacca instantly closed too. To win the invasion of Taiwan, the PRC would essentially need to defeat the military of the US and every Pacific ally.
I wouldn't move to Taiwan any time soon, but (despite the rhetoric) invasion still seems unlikely... Unless starting a war is the end goal itself.
So the PRC would need air superiority to disable those defensive positions, which would immediately pull the US and allies into the fight.
There's no Blitzkrieg option. By the time the PRC reaches the semiconductor facilities they will be scuttled. And consider the straight of Malacca instantly closed too. To win the invasion of Taiwan, the PRC would essentially need to defeat the military of the US and every Pacific ally.
I wouldn't move to Taiwan any time soon, but (despite the rhetoric) invasion still seems unlikely... Unless starting a war is the end goal itself.