Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

Because the status quo has lead to a steady reduction in crime. Long term statistics are way down, and so are most short term statistics as well:

2017-2022 [0]:

* ~9,000 fewer incidents in total.

* Rape halved.

* Robberies decreased to 2/3 of 2017 numbers.

* Burglary/Motor vehicle theft increased but Larceny theft decreased by more than both combined.

Q1 2017/2023 [0]:

* ~4,000 fewer incidents in total.

* Only Motor vehicle theft and Arson were slightly up on 2017 levels.

Q1 2022/2023 [0]:

* Total incidents down by 9.7%

* Burglary down by 11.2%

* Motor vehicle theft down by 8.5%

* Larceny theft down by 12%

* Assaults did increase by 2.2%

* As did Robberies by 13.6%

[0] https://www.sanfranciscopolice.org/stay-safe/crime-data/crim...



"With the exception of homicides"

See, that's the thing about crime stats: they only tell you successful convictions. They do not factor in police inactivity, people not reporting, police not filing, plea bargains to misdemeanors, DAs not prosecuting, cases getting dismissed.

Homicides however mean a cadaver is involved, and that can't be policy-washed: it is there in the morgue on file with the medical examiner.


> "With the exception of homicides"

Homicides are included. If you had kept reading you would've seen that the next sentence is:

> Homicides reflect the number of victims and are not based on the incidents.

It appears that homicides have generally been below, and haven't risen above, 2017 levels.

> See, that's the thing about crime stats: they only tell you successful convictions.

It's not mentioned specifically but it's implied that these are reported incidents rather than convictions:

> Incidents that are unfounded or unsubstantiated have also been excluded from the dataset.


Reported crimes, not actual crimes.

My car was broken into 3 times in 10 years. I reported it once because “what difference does it make?”




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: