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My point is really that a lot of people thought we were eons away. "It was clear" to you, but your opinion was not shared by the majority probably until at least GPT-2 at the very earliest (2019). (Note that the sibling comment to yours still doesn't believe we are close...)

Similarly, today a lot of people think we are eons away from useful general purpose robots, but it is clear to me that they are coming soon.



That we'd beat the Turing test soon was a majoritarian opinion around here.

Honestly, I wasn't even that well informed to make my own. I kept postponing looking at the chatbots until after it was beat.


I disagree. 10 years ago there were people who thought that but they were far from the majority.




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