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Productivity replaces people, if you get more done from a team of 5 than your old team of 10 you generally fire 5 people.

Programmers have significantly higher unemployment than the general workforce today, but it’s hitting a wide swath of white collar jobs and that’s not going away. The industrial revolution replaced manual labor, so people moved to more mentally challenging jobs but AI can eventually replace anybody from CEO’s on down.



Or you keep your team of 10 and produce more things.


Demand isn’t doubling economy wide any time soon. So you might keep a team of 10 if you’re outcompeting a different team of 10 and getting all of them fired.

Even if you’re keeping your job expect huge downward pressure on wages.


I've never worked at a place where I have any shortage of work to do. Usually the roadmap is several years out.


Meanwhile, I’ve been let go several times for finishing major projects. Steady long roadmaps depend on slow moving projects.




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