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1. It is 1 in 10 million if you live in a swing state.

2. You expect $6 trillion, that figure is incorrect as mseebach2 points out.

3. The probability of winning the state lottery might be 1 in 10 million. So I'm far better off buying a lottery ticket, since in the improbable event of winning I would actually make money, in contrast to hoping that the improbable event of my vote tipping the balance and creating a stronger economy would improve my income (the contrary might be true).



Nonsense, only in California are there more than 10 million voters. In Virginia, there are 3.8M, 1.9M per party. If the candidates are 2% apart, there's about a 1/100K chance of casting a deciding vote.

Also: http://what-if.xkcd.com/19/


I only cited the number from OP. What is nonsense, is valuing one vote $600,000.




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