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> Next step, do like Cappuccino

Agreed. Google Web Toolkit was a step in this direction. Once you can develop in a language of your choice (Java, Python, Ruby, etc.) and have the user interface code auto-magically compiled into equivalent functional HTML5 and JavaScript so that it can run on any browser, I think Flash will begin its fall and decline. However, I think Adobe probably has some skunkworks project to target ActionScript/Flash as pure HTML5+Javascript output (they'll sell the graphical development tool and give up on browser domination).

Adobe is working towads the holy grail of UI design tools. To build the tool that lets wireframes become functional. They are working on FXG. I imagine, internally, that there are major turf wars on continuing with Flash native vs HTML5.

http://opensource.adobe.com/wiki/display/flexsdk/FXG+1.0+Spe...



Interesting. With Html5+Javascript (H5J) and fast JavaScript engines like Chrome there will be few technical reasons left for using flash (and flex).




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