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Don't disagree with the market numbers, but there's a problem with mobile. It is best illustrated by the fact that I csnnot develop a mobile app on a mobile device.

There won't be any "convergence" until mobile OSes are uncrippled.

I personally see a three device ecosystem. Mobile will cut into PC on the low end, but it's really growing into a space not served by PC or server. Computing in general is expanding.



> I cannot develop a mobile app on a mobile device.

You can develop an Android app on an Android device.

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.aide.ui


It's probably better stated:

cannot effectively develop a mobile app on a mobile device.

Productivity largely correlates with screensize.

https://www.google.com/#q=productivity+screen+size




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