> We're at 2^15 and doubling every 5 days. If that keeps up for a month we'll be at 1M infected and 16K dead. From there it's another 50 days to 1B infected and 1-2M dead.
You may be a programmer, but certainly not a virologist. That’s not how that works.
I stated as much in my comment. You can't just take an exponential trendline and plot it out and make predictions from it. But at what point does it start to slow down? Before a million infected - not a virologist, probably, but by how much?
Before a billion infected, well obviously. Flu infects about 9-45 million people a year, so there's a ballpark model. If we take 45M and 2% mortality as the worst case scenario - and really, it could be worse than that even. It's still a million deaths. That hasn't been seen since the Spanish flu at the end of World War I.
You may be a programmer, but certainly not a virologist. That’s not how that works.